Flowers Foods Stock Performance

FLO Stock  USD 11.43  0.36  3.25%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.78, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Flowers Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Flowers Foods is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Flowers Foods has a negative expected return of -0.0025%. Please make sure to confirm Flowers Foods' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Flowers Foods performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Flowers Foods has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Flowers Foods is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.25
Five Day Return
2.33
Year To Date Return
5.93
Ten Year Return
(44.43)
All Time Return
25.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0894
Payout Ratio
1.1165
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
0.99
Dividend Date
2025-12-12
1
Flowers Foods Reports Q3 In Line With Expectations
11/06/2025
2
Hestia Capital Management LLC Takes 495,000 Position in Flowers Foods, Inc. FLO
11/18/2025
3
Acquisition by Melvin Stith of 456 shares of Flowers Foods at 10.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
4
Flowers Foods Reassessing Valuation After This Years Share Price Slide
12/09/2025
 
Flowers Foods dividend paid on 12th of December 2025
12/12/2025
5
Acquisition by W McFadden of 1363 shares of Flowers Foods subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
6
Acquisition by Smith Joanne D of 9191 shares of Flowers Foods subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
7
Acquisition by David Roach of 19690 shares of Flowers Foods subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
8
Disposition of 1459 shares by H Courtney of Flowers Foods at 10.32 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
9
Daves Killer Bread launches new breakfast bars to Rock Your Reset
01/06/2026
10
A Look At Flowers Foods Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound
01/07/2026
11
Is Flowers Foods Using Better-For-You Innovation To Reinvent Its Competitive Moat
01/08/2026
12
Natures Own launches Life Wheat Protein bread
01/13/2026
13
1 Stock Under 50 with Impressive Fundamentals and 2 We Find Risky
01/14/2026
14
Flowers Foods, Inc. FLO Shares Purchased by Campbell CO Investment Adviser LLC - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
15
Trucking Alliances safety agenda 2 policies that directly impact carriers
01/23/2026
16
Sanfilippo Son Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow22.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-172.7 M

Flowers Foods Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,161  in Flowers Foods on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (18.00) from holding Flowers Foods or give up 1.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. Flowers Foods is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.1413% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Flowers, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Flowers Foods is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Flowers Foods Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Flowers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.43 90 days 11.43 
about 17.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flowers Foods to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.46 (This Flowers Foods probability density function shows the probability of Flowers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Flowers Foods has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flowers Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flowers Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flowers Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Flowers Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flowers Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flowers Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2911.4313.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.269.4011.54
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.9813.1714.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.220.240.27
Details

Flowers Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flowers Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flowers Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flowers Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flowers Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Flowers Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flowers Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flowers Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flowers Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Flowers Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of December 2025 Flowers Foods paid $ 0.2475 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sanfilippo Son Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Flowers Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flowers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flowers Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flowers Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding212.1 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Flowers Foods Fundamentals Growth

Flowers Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Flowers Foods, and Flowers Foods fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Flowers Stock performance.

About Flowers Foods Performance

By examining Flowers Foods' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Flowers Foods' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Flowers Foods is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 33.81  24.51 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.10 

Things to note about Flowers Foods performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flowers Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Flowers Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flowers Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Flowers Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of December 2025 Flowers Foods paid $ 0.2475 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sanfilippo Son Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Evaluating Flowers Foods' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Flowers Foods' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Flowers Foods' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Flowers Foods' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Flowers Foods' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Flowers Foods' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Flowers Foods' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Flowers Foods' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Flowers Foods' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Flowers Foods' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Flowers Foods' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Flowers Foods offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Flowers Foods' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Flowers Foods Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Flowers Foods Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Flowers Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
To learn how to invest in Flowers Stock, please use our How to Invest in Flowers Foods guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Flowers diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flowers Foods. Market participants price Flowers higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Flowers Foods data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.2
Dividend Share
0.975
Earnings Share
0.94
Revenue Per Share
24.312
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
The market value of Flowers Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flowers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flowers Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flowers Foods' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Flowers Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flowers Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flowers Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flowers Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Flowers Foods' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.